Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.177181 0.206743 0.239174 0.277318 0.320878 0.368991 0.426078
2026-01-25 0.126604 0.166156 0.214193 0.276470 0.354676 0.449199 0.571616
2026-02-01 0.097292 0.139726 0.195394 0.272993 0.377448 0.512141 0.697734
2026-02-08 0.077632 0.120334 0.180097 0.268558 0.394580 0.565782 0.813614
2026-02-15 0.061890 0.102826 0.163561 0.258396 0.400417 0.602316 0.907296
2026-02-22 0.055694 0.098127 0.164247 0.272186 0.440609 0.689074 1.077541
2026-03-01 0.046293 0.086555 0.152455 0.264902 0.447610 0.727086 1.178889
2026-03-08 0.038377 0.075991 0.140538 0.255407 0.449314 0.756134 1.267780
2026-03-15 0.032569 0.068087 0.131804 0.249727 0.455936 0.792504 1.369862
2026-03-22 0.029242 0.064193 0.129432 0.254448 0.479959 0.858168 1.523129
2026-03-29 0.027162 0.062360 0.130482 0.265197 0.515087 0.944482 1.716153
2026-04-05 0.024684 0.059285 0.128725 0.270418 0.540611 1.016110 1.889146
2026-04-12 0.022072 0.055567 0.125365 0.272461 0.561004 1.081291 2.057542
2026-04-19 0.019595 0.051727 0.121254 0.272559 0.577768 1.141409 2.221719
2026-04-26 0.017164 0.047540 0.115808 0.269222 0.587399 1.189025 2.366504
2026-05-03 0.014993 0.043563 0.110229 0.264852 0.594360 1.231875 2.505104
2026-05-10 0.012740 0.038930 0.102489 0.254819 0.588657 1.249941 2.598229
2026-05-17 0.012249 0.038850 0.105303 0.268437 0.633312 1.368511 2.890041
2026-05-24 0.010610 0.035300 0.099294 0.261243 0.632892 1.397943 3.011071
2026-05-31 0.009083 0.031740 0.092718 0.251867 0.626674 1.414977 3.108415
2026-06-07 0.007934 0.029056 0.087968 0.246259 0.628199 1.447751 3.239070
2026-06-14 0.007352 0.028015 0.087406 0.250920 0.653527 1.531904 3.479507
2026-06-21 0.007048 0.027819 0.089121 0.261534 0.693604 1.649969 3.796969